Experts Fear Nuclear Famine: “A Disaster So Massive in Scale that No Preparation is Possible”

nuke-famine

At last count, there are eight countries in the world that have officially designed, developed and tested nuclear weapons. Another two (Israel and Iran) deny they have built or are building such weapons, but the probability that Israel has them and that Iran is building them is believed by members of the international community to be extremely high.

That being said, it’s only a matter of time before a madman at the helm in any of these ten nuclear-armed states decides to push the button. With the global economy in shambles, the world’s super powers mobilizing military assets, and hundreds of trillions of dollars in unservicable debt soon to be realized by the financial community, how long before history rhymes with previous large-scale events that culminated in the fall of the Roman empire or the World Wars that  devastated tens of millions of lives in the 20th century?

War, it seems, is inevitable. Not just because of the many problems faced by mankind, but because of the nature of mankind itself.

Whether that war is a widespread nuclear conflict involving the world’s super powers, or a more limited event in the middle east involving Pakistan and India, according to a new report published by the International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War, a nuclear engagement (even a limited one) would lead to widespread destruction across planet earth, with at least 2 billion people at risk of starvation or death.

The kicker? The effects will be so long-lasting, according to the author of the study, that there’s pretty much nothing we can do to survive it:

The threat of nuclear war has been embedded in global consciousness since the invention of the atomic bomb. Most fears are focused on blast radius and radioactive fallout; but the long-term effects of a nuclear conflict could be far more concerning.

According to new research from the International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War and Physicians for Social Responsibility, a phenomenon known as “nuclear famine” is keeping experts up at night. The study estimates that more than 2 billion people are at risk.

Its author, Ira Helfand, says even a limited nuclear war could lead to “the end of civilization.”

Helfand theorizes it could occur in stages. The first is climate change. Existing literature shows that a regional nuclear war between India and Pakistan could drastically affect temperatures throughout the world. A 2007 study published in Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics predicts that the soot created by such an event could reduce temps by 1.25°C per year for at least a half-decade.

This would wreak havoc on global crops.

The final stage of this catastrophe is starvation.

With his best guess, Helfand breaks the at-risk into three groups: (a) 870 million people already facing malnourishment, (b) grain-importing nations, and (c) the entire population of China. The first group gets more than 75% of its nutrition from grain, and a significant portion would not be able to afford higher prices.

Grain-importing nations, like South Korea, Japan, most of North Africa, and the Middle East, would be hard hit by trading partners who suddenly decide to stop exporting. Additionally, China’s 1.3 billion citizens would use up their rice and wheat reserves in a few months, and international hoarding may make open-market purchases impossible.

As Helfand has said: ”This is a disaster so massive in scale that really no preparation is possible. We must prevent this.”

With the vast majority of the world’s nations still unable to build the bomb, a blanket approach could work. ICAN pleads that the “very survival of humanity depends on nuclear weapons never being used.”

Fool.com via IPNNW Study

The nuclear-armed nations of the world didn’t just build these weapons so they can look at them. Sure, our leaders may claim these weapons are merely deterrents designed to prevent war, but the fact is, advanced weaponry has always been used for the purposes of conquering. Our modern era is no different.

We came dangerously close during the Cuban missile crisis in the early 1960′s. Cooler heads prevailed that day.

And even if starting a war is unintentional, it could happen. On at least one occasion, in 1983, the United States and Russia were literally minutes away from a full-scale confrontation under both country’s policies of mutually assured destruction. It turns out that was a false alarm - but the world was almost destroyed as a result. This is one of the incidents we know about, and given the secrecy behind such military operations, it’s quite possible that there have been more.

The bottom line is that we must assume these weapons will be used at some point – that should be a given. What we don’t know is the scale of the nuclear engagement. It could be that Russia, the United States, Israel, China and North Korea just start lobbing intercontinental ballistic missiles by the hundreds, in which case we’re all pretty much toast. Or, it could be a limited war, with the conflict in India and Pakistan finally coming to a head.

Whatever the case, even if those dropped bombs detonate thousands of miles away from you, there is a strong likelihood that you will feel the direct effects in the form of an almost immediate climate change, food scarcity, extreme price rises, and the riots and looting that are sure to follow.

As with any disaster, whether its a nuclear war, global financial collapse, or a natural disaster, we can fully expect the worst of the worst. As the IPPNW report notes:

We would have to expect panic on a far greater scale following a nuclear war, even if it were a “limited” regional war,  especially as it became clear that there would be significant, sustained agricultural shortfalls over an extended period.

It is probable that there would be hoarding on an international scale as food exporting nations suspended exports in order to assure adequate food supplies for their own populations.

Though the report suggests it is impossible to prepare for such an event, one could argue that survival is certainly possible.

Assuming we survive the nuclear impact and fallout because we live in a strategic location (or just got lucky!), your most immediate concerns would be food, water and self defense, all of which must be considered before such an event occurs if you intend to improve your odds of survival.

Surviving a nuclear winter will, of course, not be easy. According to the report, two billion people could die as a result – probably within a matter of months or a year. A similar scenario would play out should a disaster like a Super EMP weapon or solar flare take out our national (or global) power grid.

Regardless of the disaster, the aftermath, like any crisis or emergency, is survivable.

From the standpoint of preparedness, this means having long-term food stores and a preparedness plan to go along with them. You’ll first need to survive the initial “die-off” as millions of people search for food and resources. Then, when your own food stores run out, you’ll need to be able to produce your own by way of micro-farming and raising your own livestock.

What it will boil down to is adaptability. We can’t predict what will happen or what we will face. But understanding the potential threats, how to mitigate them when they occur, and the options we have available should our best laid plans fail gives us a much better chance of surviving disasters than just pretending like they can’t ever happen.


SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don’t Say We Didn’t Warn You

Horrific Consequences: “People Don’t Understand the Scale of the Emergency That’s Going On Right Now”

consequences

Back in the mid-2000′s, when jobs were plentiful and everyone was concerned with buying zero-interest homes, new cars and taking luxury vacations, Mike Maloney from the Hidden Secrets of Money was warning of the financial and economic destruction to come. In his assessment, a crisis was imminent:

First the threat of deflation (1), followed by a helicopter drop (2), followed by big reflation (3), followed by a real deflation (4), and then followed by hyperinflation (5),

We now know that Maloney was right.

In 2008 we saw asset valuations from stocks to commodities lose significant value. It was a deflationary impact so threatening that the U.S. government was on the brink of a collapse which sunsequently led to members of Congress being warned that if nothing was done there would be tanks on the streets of America. This was followed by an unprecedented bailout package, which included an astronomical infusion of cash by the Federal Reserve under the direction of Chairman Ben Bernanke. Since then we’ve seen a massive reflation in a system where the economic fundamentals have only gotten worse – stock markets have hit all time highs, home prices have seemingly re-stabilized and personal debt is approaching 2007 levels.

Mike’s first three stages have, without a doubt, now come to pass.

If his forecast is correct – and it sure seems like it – then we will soon enter the next stage of this crisis and it will involve yet another deflationary hit to global asset prices. We know how destabilizing such an event can be from our country’s experience during the Great Depression. But as Mike notes in a follow-up to his original forecast, the next event will be nothing like what we saw during the 1930′s:

I think it’s going to be a whole lot worse than the 30′s…

People don’t understand the scale of the emergency that’s going on right now. 

They think that Ben Bernanke fixed things and that the economy is back on track, but the Fed is still doing emergency measures. They’re printing $ 85 billion a month – that’s over a trillion dollars a year… and people do not grasp the scale of the emergency measures that they’re doing right now.

There was just a little over $ 800 billion of base money in existence before the crisis in 2008… that’s 200 years worth of currency creation… So that’s 0.8 trillion… now we create a trillion every year… that means we’re creating more than 200 years of currency every single year

…For him [Bernanke] to say that they’re not going to taper is an admission that they can never, ever taper… If they do the whole thing comes crashing down.

I think the crash of 2008 was just a speed bump on the way to the main event… the consequences are gonna be horrific… the rest of the decade will bring us the greatest financial calamity in history.

If Maloney is right, then the next crash is going to be followed by something so severe that many have suggested our civilization may not survive in its current form.

Hyperinflation on this scale, originating in the United States, will lead to immediate global consequences. First, our systems of commerce break down. Next, the government will be left with no choice but to implement a state of martial law, something they have been war-gaming for years in anticipation of this very event. And finally, as noted by many contrarian experts, the world could very rapidly descend into widespread global conflict.

We are, by all measures, on the very precipice of what is potentially the most enormous financial, economic, and social collapse in the history of the world.

Both scenarios – deflation and inflation – are going to impoverish this nation and make it nearly impossible for people to acquire the basic necessities for life. One hundred million people are already struggling right now and are only capable of paying their rent and putting food on the table because of direct government assistance.

When the system collapses that assistance will not be enough and those who failed to prepare by stocking long-term food stores, gold and silver, and barter supplies are going to be living in horrific conditions.

This is big – and most people are completely ignorant to the possibility.


SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don’t Say We Didn’t Warn You

The Next Event: Destruction on a Massive Scale

This article has been contributed by Survival Pulse.

event-nuclear

To the untrained eye, it would appear that the masses are waking up. People are becoming more informed. Local news stations are talking more about what used to be called “conspiracy theories”. Our opposition to further war in the Middle East has been noted and a crisis in Syria has been temporarily averted. The United States public seems to have achieved a small victory, right?

To the trained eye, this is called diminishing returns. The old tactics used to deceive and manipulate the emotions of the public have become less effective over time. Does this mean that we are winning the fight, or that something more sinister is on the way?

The Weakening of the False Flag

A false flag is an attack that is meant to deceive the public into believing that it was carried out by a person or group other than those who are actually responsible. The purpose is to gain support from the public against those who are blamed for the attack to justify action against them. Those truly responsible for false flags are a topic heavily debated but I will refer to them as the elite.

In the past, when the vast majority of the public used the MSM as their sole source of information, a false flag was extremely effective. However, people now have access to more sources of information and have become increasingly skeptical. This has been underscored by the most recent lack of American support for military action in the Middle East, along with an unprecedented amount of skepticism regarding the shooting in Aurora, Co and the Boston Marathon bombing.

With the internet today, it has become almost impossible to prove or disprove any specific event unless it is experienced first-hand. All it takes is some well-crafted disinformation to discredit and make the masses second guess what actually happened, or if an event even happened at all.

An Event that will Shock Even Those that are “Awake”

So if the elite really are behind some of the most horrific events in recent history, how would they further their agenda in today’s world? It would take an event or series of events that directly affects the entire American public. An event so devastating that it would overwhelm the senses. It would have to hit close to home and trigger an emotional response so strong that even skeptical Americans would ignore the possibility of the elites involvement.

What kind of event would accomplish all of the above? The type of event that preppers have been getting ready for. An EMP, nuclear bomb, and chemical attack are a few things that come to mind. It really is anyone’s guess as the elite would likely try to be as unpredictable as possible.

The scariest part though, is what could follow such an event.

The Aftermath

We have all heard about the NDAA, government ammo purchases, FEMA coffins, etc. I could go on for days with more examples but I think you get the point. In the wake of a truly horrifying disaster, the masses would be vulnerable and easily mislead once again. All it would take is some simple staged aggression towards the government from “truthers” or “extremists” after a major event to issue in the new era of martial law and FEMA meal plans.

You might not even be that lucky if you are on the government’s terrorist list. I guess you shouldn’t have purchased that value pack of protein bars!

Buckle Up

If the elites are responsible for false flags in the past, there is no doubt that they will do whatever it takes to further their agenda. “Whatever it takes” could be one hell of a major disaster given the growing number of Americans that are waking up.

While I believe we should all celebrate the growing awareness of the masses, we must remain vigilant. The elite are watching the masses too, and they aren’t celebrating…


survivalpulseFind the latest preparedness articles and resources at SurvivalPulse.com. You can also follow their regularly updated Facebook page and Twitter.


SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don’t Say We Didn’t Warn You

KYLE BASS ON THE COMING GLOBAL COLLAPSE: “Potemkin villages on a Jurassic scale”

Investor Kyle Bass made his first billion shorting the housing market just before the 2008 collapse. And his warnings about the current sovereign debt crisis appear just as prescient. The mathematics — and his logic — are unassailable.

In a nutshell: we are very close to the endgame of Keynesian can-kicking. Which means: the real crisis has yet to begin`.

…Converting all balances to USD, central bankers around the world have expanded their balance sheets beyond$ 13 trillion, from only $ 3 trillion ten years ago. Global central banks’ assets now comprise at least a quarter of all global GDP – up from only 10% in 2002…

…As investors, what do we think about the quadrupling of central bank balance sheets to over $ 13 trillionin the last ten years? It certainly doesn’t make me feel any better to say it fast or forget that we moved ever so quickly from million to billion to trillion dollar problems. It has become increasingly clear over the last four years that the common denominator in policy response to financial crises is, and will continue to be, more central bank easing (printing money) to finance fiscal deficits. Let us recap the actions of three of the four most prominent, powerful and influential central banks in the world over the course of the last several weeks…

…Central bankers are feverishly attempting to create their own new world: a utopia in which debts are never restructured, and there are no consequences for fiscal profligacy, i.e. no atonement for prior sins.They have created Potemkin villages on a Jurassic scale. The sum total of the volatility they are attempting to suppress will be less than the eventual volatility encountered when their schemes stop working. Most refer to comments like this as heresy against the orthodoxy of economic thought. We have a hard time understanding how the current situation ends any way other than a massive loss of wealth and purchasing power through default, inflation or both…

As each 100 basis points in cost of capital costs the US federal government over $ 150 billion, the US simply cannot afford for another Paul Volcker to raise rates and contain inflation once it begins

…It took the United States 193 years (1789-1981) to aggregate $ 1 trillion of government debt. It then took 20 years (1981-2001) to add an additional $ 4.8 trillion and, in the last 10 years (2001-2011), a whopping $ 9.8 trillion has been added to the federal debt. Since 1981, the US increased its sovereign debt by 1,560% while its population increased by only 35%…

…Our belief is that markets will eventually take these matters out of the hands of the central bankers. These events will happen with such rapidity that policy makers won’t be able to react fast enough.

The fallacy of the belief that countries that print their own currency are immune to sovereign crisis will be disproven in the coming months and years. Those that treat this belief as axiomatic will most likely bethe biggest losers. A handful of investors and asset managers have recently discussed an emerging school of thought, which postulates that countries, as the sole manufacturer of their currency, can never become insolvent, and in this sense, governments are not dependent on credit markets to remain fiscally operational. It is precisely this line of thinking which will ultimately lead the sheep to slaughter…

…How many Japanese have questioned how (if ever) a quadrillion yen of debt will ever be repaid when it represents over 20X central government revenues? (Answer: it can’t be)

Very few participants are aware of the enormity and severity of the problems the developed world faces. Those that are aware are frantically trying to come up with the next “solution” to the debt problems. In our opinion (which hasn’t changed since 2008), the only long-term solution is to continue to expand program after program until the only path left is a full restructuring (read: default) of most sovereign debts of the developed nations of the world (a la late 1930s and early 1940s when 48% of the world’s countries restructured their debts)…

Sadly, looking back through economic history, all too often war is the manifestation of simple economic entropy played to its logical conclusion. We believe that war is an inevitable consequence of the current global economic situation

Read the whole damn thing. Bass could be wrong, but I wouldn’t bank on it.



Doug Ross @ Journal

Alert: Highly Sophisticated Large Scale Cyberheist Targets Customer Funds at Major U.S. Banks

A credible threat to the U.S. banking system has been identified by cyber security firm RSA and suggests that plans for a highly organized, large scale online bank heist targeting retail customers in the United States is currently underway.

In an advisory, RSA said it has information suggesting the gang plans to unleash a little-known Trojan program to infiltrate computers belonging to US banking customers and to use the hijacked machines to initiate fraudulent wire transfers from their accounts.

If successful, the effort could turn out to be one of the largest organized banking-Trojan operations to date, Mor Ahuvia, cybercrime communications specialist with RSA’s FraudAction team, said today. The gang is now recruiting about 100 botmasters, each of whom would be responsible for carrying out Trojan attacks against US banking customers in return for a share of the loot, she said.

Each botmaster will be backed by an “investor” who will provide money to buy the hardware and software needed for the attacks, Ahuvia said.

This is the first time we are seeing a financially motivated cyber crime operation being orchestrated at this scale,” Ahivia said. “We have seen DDoS attacks and hacking before. But we have never seen it being organized at this scale.”

RSA’s warning comes at a time when US banks are already on high alert. Over the past two weeks, the online operations of several major banks, including JP Morgan Chase, Bank of America, Citigroup and Wells Fargo were disrupted by what appeared to be coordinated denial-of-service attacks.

A little-known group called “Cyber fighters of Izz ad-din Al qassam” claimed credit for the attacks, but some security experts think a nation may have been behind the campaign because of the scale and organized nature of the attacks.

The latest discussion suggests that they now have individual consumer accounts in their crosshairs, Ahuvia said, warning that the gang plans to attempt to infiltrate computers in the US with a little known Trojan malware program called Gozi Prinimalka.

The malware is an updated version of a much older banking Trojan, Gozi, which was used by cyber criminals to steal millions of dollars from US banks.

The group’s plan apparently is to plant the Trojan program on numerous websites and to infect computers when users visit those sites.

The Trojan is triggered when the user of an infected computer types out certain words — such as the name of a specific bank — into a URL string.

Source: Computer World

As noted in the RSA report, Denial-of-Service attacks responsible for taking down the web sites of several of the nation’s largest banks last month were attributed to an online terrorist organization. According to the U.S. government, the cyber terror cell had direct ties to, you guessed it, the Iranian government.

Additionally, this week the Intelligence Committee of U.S. Congress requested a ban on two Chinese technology firms for their undermining of national security. According to a report from Real Agenda, a one year investigation by the committee concluded that the firms Huawei and ZTE have been illegally transferring sensitive corporate information to China through the use of their telecommunication network access in the United States. Moreover, Google this week issued emergency emails to users of their gmail service citing a “state sponsored” hijacking threat to sensitive user information and communiques.

Considering the Obama administration has, since September, been circulating a draft of an Executive Order which aims to implement some of the regulations and security features of the 2012 Cybersecurity Act which failed to muster enough votes in Congress earlier this year, this latest report regarding the possibility of an attack on the consumer banking system and customer funds at the largest financial institutions in the country could be another psychological operation designed to rally support for legislation that would give the government more monitoring and control over domestic internet activity.

Whether this is a ploy to coerce Congress and the American people to give up their online privacy rights, or, in fact, a legitimate threat to U.S. bank customers is anybody’s guess.

(Perhaps it’s a mixture of both – never let a good crisis go to waste)

According to some analysts there are gaping holes in the online consumer banking system that could easily allow such a trojan to first identify security credentials to access personal accounts, and then to rapidly distribute funds within those accounts to fake bank accounts around the world. That the perpetrators have been identified as originating in Europe and Russia ads further credence to the possibility that this is real:

In any event it’s not good; reports are that the “ringmasters” are in Russia and Eastern Europe, long a hotbed of this sort of activity.

The gist of the attack is that most US banks do not require “two factor” authentication before initiating a wire transfer.  This is especially important because once a wire transfer is confirmed it is really gone, and in general cannot be recalled.  It appears that they intend to deploy (or may have already deployed!) trojan horse programs that capture keystrokes, obtain login information and then en-masse initiate wire transfers out of the United States from the victims’ accounts before the banks can react, effectively draining huge sums of money and distributing the proceeds among the crooks.

The biggest challenge is that today’s hacker looking to rob you is more-interested in getting some sort of “quiet” keylogger or other trojan into your system.  These arevery difficult to detect, as they’re not designed to disrupt your system’s operation in any way — just to look for anything that appears to be a password and then sending it on to the criminals.  Do not be fooled if you’re on a Mac into thinking you’re impervious either — and in particular be very careful with mobile devices, most of which are far weaker than their desktop counterparts when it comes to security.

I can’t judge the credibility of this threat accurately, but it has attracted the attention of a fair number of folks who are sounding warning bells, and at least thus far the information appears to be reasonably credible.

Via Market Ticker

Preventative Measures

Because such trojans or malware can be dropped onto computers when visiting any number of web sites or opening emails, we urge readers to take preventative measures by verifying that their systems have not been compromised (including mobile devices). Online security firms like McAfee, Symantec and Kaspersky offer tools that will scan your computer for such infections and actively monitor your system in real-time as you receive email or visit web sites.

Additionally, we strongly recommend this free tool from Malware Bytes. It has been rated 5-stars by Cnet and thousands of users, and does not require a subscription. It will both scan and clean your system of potential key loggers or other trojans, spyware and viruses.

After your system has been scanned and cleaned of threats, best practices suggest that you change passwords for any online financial related accounts you have (in case a key logger has already captured your information), as well as accounts that require privacy, such as email.

Whether the above threat is credible or not, it’s better to be safe than sorry.


SHTF Plan – When It Hits The Fan, Don’t Say We Didn’t Warn You